330: Makhachev vs Garry
Updated 1 month ago
If [outcome] wins the Makhachev vs Garry professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Winner: Islam Makhachevon Aug 16, 2026
What happened
Resolved 2026-08-15
Islam Makhachev retained his UFC welterweight championship by defeating Ian Machado Garry via unanimous decision (49-46, 49-46, 48-47) on August 15, 2026, at UFC 330 in Philadelphia. With markets pricing Makhachev at 76% the day before—reflecting a contested bout—the champion's hard-fought victory extended his UFC-record winning streak to 17 consecutive fights, surpassing Anderson Silva's 16-fight mark.
Before 330: Makhachev vs Garry resolved, the final Kalshi odds were: Islam Makhachev: 99%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
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Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
