Will Graham Platner drop out?
Updated 1 week ago
If Graham Platner drops out of the 2026 United States Senate election in Maine before Jul 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Winner: Before Jul 10, 2026on Jul 14, 2026
What happened
Resolved 2026-07-08
Graham Platner, Maine's Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate, dropped out of the race on Wednesday, July 8, 2026, after a woman accused him of sexual assault in 2021. The allegation led national Democrats including Chuck Schumer and Bernie Sanders to call for his exit, causing his support to collapse. The Maine Democratic Party quickly moved to hold a nominating convention to select a replacement candidate before the July 27 ballot deadline.
Before Will Graham Platner drop out? resolved, the final Kalshi odds were: Before Jul 10, 2026: 100%, Before Jul 12, 2026: 100%, Before Jul 13, 2026: 100%, Before Jul 9, 2026: 100%, Before Jul 11, 2026: 100%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
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Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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