329: Royval vs Kavanagh
Updated 3 months ago
If [outcome] wins the Royval vs Kavanagh professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Jul 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Winner: Brandon Royvalon Jul 12, 2026
What happened
Resolved 2026-07-11
Brandon Royval defeated Lone'er Kavanagh with a third-round rear-naked choke submission at UFC 329 on July 11, 2026, in Las Vegas. After a chaotic, back-and-forth flyweight bout that earned Fight of the Night honors, Royval rallied late in the final round to secure the submission with 1:20 remaining. The victory ended Royval's two-fight losing streak and showcased another memorable performance from the veteran flyweight contender.
Before 329: Royval vs Kavanagh resolved, the final Kalshi odds were: Brandon Royval: 99%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
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Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
