Fight Night: Ankalaev vs Guskov
Updated 2 months ago
If [outcome] wins the Ankalaev vs Guskov professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Jul 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Winner: Magomed Ankalaevon Jul 25, 2026
What happened
Resolved 2026-07-25
Magomed Ankalaev dominated Bogdan Guskov to earn a fifth-round TKO stoppage at UFC Fight Night on July 25, confirming what markets had priced at 82% the day before. Ankalaev controlled the bout through multiple takedowns and ground-and-pound before referee Marc Goddard halted the action at 2:41 of round five when Guskov could no longer defend against incoming strikes. The victory marked the former light heavyweight champion's return to form after his October 2025 title loss to Alex Pereira.
Before Fight Night: Ankalaev vs Guskov resolved, the final Kalshi odds were: Magomed Ankalaev: 99%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
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Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
