Updated 1 month ago
If Aston Villa records above 2.5 goals in the Aston Villa vs Arsenal professional EPL soccer game originally scheduled for Aug 31, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Winner: Arsenal over 0.5 goalson Aug 31, 2026
What happened
Resolved 2026-08-31
Arsenal defeated Aston Villa 1-0 at Villa Park on August 31, 2026, with Bukayo Saka scoring in the 59th minute to secure the defending Premier League champions' second consecutive win. The victory confirmed what markets had priced at 88% the day before, as Arsenal controlled an edgy contest against a Villa side still searching for their first points of the season following significant summer departures.
Before Aston Villa vs Arsenal: Team Total resolved, the final Kalshi odds were: Arsenal over 0.5 goals: 99%, Arsenal over 2.5 goals: 12%, Arsenal over 3.5 goals: 3%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
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Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
