Tommy McMillen vs. Alberto Montes: Method of Victory
Updated 2 months ago
If Alberto Montes wins by Submission during the Tommy McMillen vs. Alberto Montes UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Jul 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Winner: Tommy McMillen by KO/TKO/DQon Jul 19, 2026
What happened
Resolved 2026-07-18
Tommy McMillen defeated Alberto Montes via standing TKO at 3:29 of round three on July 18, 2026, at UFC Fight Night 281 in Oklahoma City. McMillen's high-volume striking attack overwhelmed the technically proficient Montes in a competitive featherweight bout. The KO/TKO/DQ finish was priced at just 28% the day before, confirming a clear underdog victory for McMillen's devastating output.
Before Tommy McMillen vs. Alberto Montes: Method of Victory resolved, the final Kalshi odds were: Tommy McMillen by KO/TKO/DQ: 99%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
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Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.