Updated 3 months ago
If Adrian Yanez wins by Submission during the Cody Garbrandt vs. Adrian Yanez 329 fight originally scheduled for Jul 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Winner: Adrian Yanez by KO/TKO/DQon Jul 12, 2026
What happened
Resolved 2026-07-11
Adrian Yanez defeated former bantamweight champion Cody Garbrandt by TKO at UFC 329 on July 11, 2026, with referee Herb Dean stopping the fight at 2:47 of the first round after Yanez landed brutal hooks that sent Garbrandt to the canvas. Yanez walked Garbrandt down early, timed a devastating counter right hook, and finished the fight with a flurry of punches to announce his arrival on the bantamweight stage.
Before Cody Garbrandt vs. Adrian Yanez: Method of Victory resolved, the final Kalshi odds were: Adrian Yanez by KO/TKO/DQ: 99%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
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Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.