Darline GrahamSouth Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?
Updated 2 weeks ago
If [outcome] wins the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary, then the market resolves to Yes.
Winner: Darline Graham
What happened
Resolved 2026-08-25
Darline Graham won the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff on August 25, 2026, defeating Rep. Ralph Norman to secure the GOP nomination for her late brother Lindsey Graham's seat. With markets pricing Graham at 66% the day before, her victory delivered Trump's high-profile endorsement and advanced the political newcomer to the November general election against Democrat Annie Andrews.
WinnerBefore South Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner? resolved, the final Kalshi odds were: Darline Graham: 99%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
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Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
