Maine Senate winner? (Person)
Updated 3h ago
If Stephen King wins the 2026 Maine Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Market analysis
Analysis generated Jul 11, 2026
Kalshi implies Troy Jackson leads at 43% to defeat Susan Collins, outpacing Collins herself at 39%, while recent polls show all three main Democratic contenders—Jackson, Shenna Bellows, and Nirav Shah—in statistical ties with Collins in hypothetical matchups. Jackson has secured backing from Maine AFL-CIO and Sanders-founded Our Revolution, giving him a grassroots edge heading into the July 25-26 Democratic nominating convention with 600 delegates. Collins remains the most vulnerable Republican incumbent in 2026, but the market is pricing Jackson's momentum and labor support as decisive in winning the Democratic nomination.
As of July 13, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Maine Senate winner? (Person) are: Troy Jackson: 44%, Susan Collins: 39%, Shenna Bellows: 13%, Nirav Shah: 3%, Dan Kleban: 1%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Maine Senate winner? (Person) is currently listed on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability — we surface the same event on Polymarket, Kalshi & Limitless when it's listed on more than one platform.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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