Updated 1h ago
If [outcome] wins the 2026 Guam gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Market analysis
Analysis generated Aug 25, 2026
Kalshi prices Democrat Therese Terlaje at 75% and Republican Tony Ada at 13%, reflecting Democratic structural dominance in Guam. Terlaje, a former legislature speaker who entered the race in April, upset the heavily-favored incumbent lieutenant governor Josh Tenorio in the August primary by 460 votes despite being outspent. Ada won his Republican primary but faces headwinds from the party's 44% showing in 2022 and the territory's overall Democratic lean.
As of October 14, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Guam Governor winner? are: Therese Terlaje: 74%, Tony Ada: 23%, Josh Tenorio: 4%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Guam Governor winner? is currently listed on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability — we surface the same event on Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun when it's listed on more than one platform.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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