Yu Deng
John Pardon
Jacob TsimermanWho will win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Updated 2 months ago
Winners: Hong Wang, Yu Deng, John Pardon, Jacob Tsimermanon Jul 30, 2026
YesWhat happened
Resolved 2026-07-23
The International Mathematical Union announced four recipients of the 2026 Fields Medal on July 23 at the International Congress of Mathematicians in Philadelphia: Yu Deng of the University of Chicago, John Pardon of Stony Brook University, Jacob Tsimerman of the University of Toronto, and Hong Wang of New York University and France's IHES.
How the market got there
4 outcomes resolved yes: Jacob Tsimerman, Yu Deng, Hong Wang, John Pardon. Price journey below tracks Hong Wang, the highest-volume winner.
Computed from recorded hourly prices (UTC). Dates are when the recorded price crossed each mark and stayed there.
Before Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal? ended, the final Polymarket odds were: Hong Wang: 100%, Yu Deng: 100%, John Pardon: 100%, Jacob Tsimerman: 100%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
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