Bruno Fernandes
Erling HaalandUpdated 1 month ago
If || Person || wins the Professional Footballers' Association (PFA) Players' Player of the Year in the 2025-2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Winner: Bruno Fernandes
WinnerMarket analysis
Analysis generated Aug 24, 2026
Bruno Fernandes commands an overwhelming 86% probability on Kalshi after setting a Premier League single-season assists record (21) and sweeping the FWA Footballer of the Year and Premier League Player of the Season awards. Declan Rice at 13% is the lone meaningful challenger, riding Arsenal's title triumph and strong defensive contributions. Cole Palmer and Haaland, priced at 3% and 2% respectively, are not even on the official six-player shortlist and cannot win, signaling a market pricing error or a Kalshi rule difference.
Before PFA Player of the Year? resolved, the final Kalshi odds were: Bruno Fernandes: 99%, Erling Haaland: 2%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
No — this market has resolved on Kalshi. PredictMarketCap tracks thousands of active markets across Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun if you're looking for what's live now.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
