
Who will be Trump's next Director of National Intelligence?
Updated 2 months ago
If the first new person to be Director of National Intelligence is [outcome] before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Winner: Jay Clayton
Before Who will be Trump's next Director of National Intelligence? resolved, the final Kalshi odds were: Jay Clayton: 100%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
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Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.