Tom Begich
Dave Bronson
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
Bill WalkerYesYesWhat happened
Resolved 2026-08-18
Tom Begich and Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins, both Democrats, advanced from Alaska's August 18 governor primary to the November general election as two of the top four finishers in the nonpartisan blanket primary. Begich finished second among Democrats with 9,117 votes while Kreiss-Tomkins led with 9,936 votes. Markets had priced Begich at 99% to advance, confirming the heavy favorite delivered as expected.
Before Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary? ended, the final Polymarket odds were: Tom Begich: 100%, Dave Bronson: 99%, Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins: 81%, Bernadette Wilson: 72%, Bill Walker: 21%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
No — this market has ended on Polymarket. PredictMarketCap tracks thousands of active markets across Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun if you're looking for what's live now.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?
Updated 1 month ago
Winners: Tom Begich, Dave Bronson, Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins, Bernadette Wilsonon Sep 2, 2026
Yes
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