
Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
Updated 2h ago
Market analysis
Analysis generated Sep 18, 2026
The Clarity Act vote has already resolved as of September 16, 2026. The Senate's procedural cloture vote failed 49-50, with all Democrats and four Republicans (Collins, Hawley, Moran, Tillis) voting no. None of the top four market contenders—Padilla, Fetterman, Warnock, and Rosen—voted yes; all four voted no on the motion to proceed.
As of October 11, 2026, the Polymarket odds for Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act? are: Mike Lee: 12%, Thom Tillis: 10%, Raphael Warnock: 9%, Catherine Cortez Masto: 9%, John Fetterman: 8%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act? is currently listed on Polymarket. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability — we surface the same event on Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun when it's listed on more than one platform.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.