Updated 1 month ago
Winner: Barcelonaon Sep 2, 2026
What happened
Resolved 2026-08-17
Barcelona secured midfielder Rodri from Manchester City on August 17, 2026, completing a €76.5 million (£65.4 million) transfer after the Spanish champions' third bid succeeded. The 2024 Ballon d'Or winner and World Cup champion agreed a four-year contract with Barcelona, confirming what markets had priced at 98% the day before the announcement.
Before Where will Rodri transfer? ended, the final Polymarket odds were: Barcelona: 100%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
No — this market has ended on Polymarket. PredictMarketCap tracks thousands of active markets across Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun if you're looking for what's live now.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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