Updated 4 months ago
Winners: Peng, Ship / Chipon Jun 21, 2026
What happened
Resolved 2026-05-15
During Trump's May 14-15, 2026 bilateral meetings with Chinese President Xi Jinping in Beijing, Trump mentioned "Peng" when inviting Xi and his wife First Lady Peng Liyuan to visit the White House on September 24. The Polymarket event resolved to "Yes" on the "Peng" outcome after Trump spoke the term at bilateral events including the state banquet and opening remarks.
Before What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping? ended, the final Polymarket odds were: Peng: 100%, Ship / Chip: 98%, Tariff: 37%, Friend of mine: 31%, Taiwan / Tibet: 14%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
No — this market has ended on Polymarket. PredictMarketCap tracks thousands of active markets across Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun if you're looking for what's live now.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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