Updated 3 months ago
If David Muir says [outcome] as part of ABC World News Tonight with David Muir , then the market resolves to Yes.
Winners: Charlie / Kirk, Turkey, Graham Platneron Jul 22, 2026
What happened
Resolved 2026-07-08
David Muir reported on ABC World News Tonight on July 8, 2026, that Maine Democratic Senate candidate Graham Platner suspended his campaign following allegations of sexual assault from a former girlfriend. The suspension came after days of mounting pressure from Democratic leaders, including Bernie Sanders, to withdraw from the race challenging Republican Senator Susan Collins.
Before What will David Muir say during ABC World News Tonight? resolved, the final Kalshi odds were: Charlie / Kirk: 99%, Turkey: 99%, Graham Platner: 99%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
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Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
