Updated 2 months ago
If USA wins the USA vs Bosnia and Herzegovina professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 1, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Winner: Reg Time: USAon Jul 2, 2026
What happened
Resolved 2026-07-01
The USA defeated Bosnia and Herzegovina 2-0 in a FIFA World Cup 2026 Round of 32 match on July 1, 2026, advancing to the Round of 16 against Belgium. Folarin Balogun scored the opening goal in the 45th minute before receiving a red card in the 64th, but Malik Tillman sealed the victory with a free-kick goal in the 82nd minute as the Americans held on with ten men. The win was notable as the USA's third victory in the tournament, their most in a single World Cup edition.
Before USA vs Bosnia and Herzegovina: Regulation Time Moneyline resolved, the final Kalshi odds were: Reg Time: USA: 99%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
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Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
