Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 5, 2026?

Before Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 5, 2026? resolved, the final Kalshi odds were: 38.5%: 99%, 38.4%: 2%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.

No — this market has resolved on Kalshi. PredictMarketCap tracks thousands of active markets across Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun if you're looking for what's live now.

Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.