Updated 1 month ago
If Toronto wins by more than 3.5 runs in the New York Y vs Toronto professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026 at 3:07 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Winners: Toronto wins by over 2.5 runs, Toronto wins by over 1.5 runson Aug 15, 2026
What happened
Resolved 2026-08-15
The Toronto Blue Jays defeated the New York Yankees 4-1 on August 15, 2026, with Charles McAdoo delivering a tiebreaking RBI double in the seventh inning. The result covered the market's heavily favored spread of Toronto winning by over 2.5 runs, which had been priced at 99% the day before. It was Toronto's 13th win in their last 19 games.
Before New York Y vs Toronto: Spread resolved, the final Kalshi odds were: Toronto wins by over 2.5 runs: 99%, Toronto wins by over 1.5 runs: 99%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
No — this market has resolved on Kalshi. PredictMarketCap tracks thousands of active markets across Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun if you're looking for what's live now.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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