Updated 2 days ago
If [outcome] is the #1 model on Artificial Analysis Speech Arena Leaderboard on Oct 9, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Winner: ElevenLabson Oct 9, 2026
Before Top Text to Speech AI this week resolved, the final Kalshi odds were: ElevenLabs: 98%, Mistral: 4%, Smallest.ai: 3%, SpeechifyAI: 3%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
No — this market has resolved on Kalshi. PredictMarketCap tracks thousands of active markets across Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun if you're looking for what's live now.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
