Updated 1 month ago
If Stanford wins by more than 7.5 points in the Hawai'i vs Stanford college football game originally scheduled for Aug 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Winners: Stanford wins by over 6.5 points, Stanford wins by over 1.5 points, Stanford wins by over 5.5 points, Stanford wins by over 7.5 points, Stanford wins by over 3.5 points, Stanford wins by over 4.5 points, Stanford wins by over 9.5 points, Stanford wins by over 2.5 pointson Aug 30, 2026
What happened
Resolved 2026-08-29
Stanford defeated Hawai'i 37-27 on August 29, 2026, confirming the market's expectation that the Cardinal would win by more than 5.5 points. Micah Ford scored his third touchdown late in the fourth quarter to secure the victory after Stanford rallied from nearly surrendering a 16-point lead. The 10-point win margin resolved the spread wager decisively in Stanford's favor.
Before Hawai'i vs Stanford: Spread resolved, the final Kalshi odds were: Stanford wins by over 6.5 points: 99%, Stanford wins by over 1.5 points: 99%, Stanford wins by over 5.5 points: 99%, Stanford wins by over 7.5 points: 99%, Stanford wins by over 3.5 points: 99%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
No — this market has resolved on Kalshi. PredictMarketCap tracks thousands of active markets across Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun if you're looking for what's live now.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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