Updated 1 month ago
If [outcome] and India draw or tie in the Sri Lanka vs India men's professional Test series cricket match originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026 at 12:30 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Winner: Draw/Tieon Aug 28, 2026
What happened
Resolved 2026-08-27
The 2nd Test between India and Sri Lanka ended in a draw in Colombo from August 23–27, 2026, a genuine 9% upset the markets had priced as just 9% the day before against India's 85%. Sonal Dinusha scored an unbeaten 133 in Sri Lanka's second innings, batting through the fifth day to save the match after being forced to follow on, securing the draw and denying India a series sweep despite leading the two-match series 1–0.
Before Sri Lanka vs India resolved, the final Kalshi odds were: Draw/Tie: 99%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
No — this market has resolved on Kalshi. PredictMarketCap tracks thousands of active markets across Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun if you're looking for what's live now.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
