Updated 3 months ago
If Tie is the result of the Spain vs Belgium professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 10, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Winner: Reg Time: Spainon Jul 10, 2026
What happened
Resolved 2026-07-10
Spain defeated Belgium 2-1 in a 2026 FIFA World Cup quarterfinal on July 10, 2026, with Mikel Merino scoring the decisive late goal in the 88th minute after exploiting a goalkeeper error. The match saw Fabián Ruiz open the scoring in the 30th minute before Belgium equalized through Charles De Ketelaere just before halftime, but Spain's pressure and Belgium's loss of starting goalkeeper Thibaut Courtois to injury proved decisive, advancing Spain to face France in the semifinals.
Before Spain vs Belgium: Regulation Time Moneyline resolved, the final Kalshi odds were: Reg Time: Spain: 99%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
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Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
