Spain vs Belgium
Updated 2 days ago
If Spain advance past Belgium in the Spain vs Belgium soccer match in the Quarterfinal of the FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Winner: Spain advanceson Jul 10, 2026
What happened
Resolved 2026-07-10
Spain advanced to the World Cup semifinals by defeating Belgium 2-1 on July 10, 2026, with Mikel Merino scoring the decisive goal in the 88th minute at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, California. Belgium's starting goalkeeper Thibaut Courtois suffered an injury and was replaced by backup Senne Lammens, who conceded the late winning goal. Spain will face France in the semifinals on Tuesday in Dallas.
WinnerBefore Spain vs Belgium resolved, the final Kalshi odds were: Spain advances: 99%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
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Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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