Updated 2 months ago
If Tie is the result of the Spain vs Austria professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 2, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Winner: Reg Time: Spainon Jul 2, 2026
What happened
Resolved 2026-07-02
Spain defeated Austria 3-0 in their 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 match at SoFi Stadium in Los Angeles on July 2. Mikel Oyarzabal scored twice, with Pedro Porro adding a third goal, as the defending European champions dominated throughout to advance to the Round of 16 and record their first World Cup knockout win since winning the tournament in 2010.
Before Spain vs Austria: Regulation Time Moneyline resolved, the final Kalshi odds were: Reg Time: Spain: 99%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
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Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.