Updated 2 months ago
If Spain advance past Austria in the Spain vs Austria soccer tie in the Round Of 32 of the FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Winner: Spain advanceson Jul 2, 2026
WinnerWhat happened
Resolved 2026-07-02
Spain advanced to the 2026 World Cup Round of 16 with a dominant 3-0 victory over Austria on July 2 at SoFi Stadium in Los Angeles. Mikel Oyarzabal scored twice and Pedro Porro added a goal as Spain controlled the match from start to finish. The win marked Spain's first World Cup knockout victory in 16 years.
Before Spain vs Austria resolved, the final Kalshi odds were: Spain advances: 99%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
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Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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