Updated 6 days ago
If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for October 2, 2026 is at least 3.91%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Winner: Exactly 3.88%on Oct 12, 2026
Before SOFR for October 2, 2026 resolved, the final Kalshi odds were: Exactly 3.88%: 25%, Exactly 3.87%: 20%, Exactly 3.89%: 18%, Exactly 3.90%: 2%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
No — this market has resolved on Kalshi. PredictMarketCap tracks thousands of active markets across Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun if you're looking for what's live now.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
