Updated 6 days ago
If the S&P 500 index value on Oct 5, 2026 at 4pm EDT is above 7794.9999, then the market resolves to Yes.
Thresholds up through 7770 resolved YES; 7775 and above resolved NO — placing the final value in the 7770–7775 bandon Oct 5, 2026
Before S&P price on Oct 5, 2026 at 4pm EDT? resolved, the final Kalshi odds were: 7,725 or above: 99%, 7,675 or above: 99%, 7,665 or above: 99%, 7,715 or above: 99%, 7,700 or above: 99%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
No — this market has resolved on Kalshi. PredictMarketCap tracks thousands of active markets across Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun if you're looking for what's live now.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
