Updated 1 month ago
If Tie is the result of the Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Aug 26, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Winner: Real Madridon Aug 26, 2026
What happened
Resolved 2026-08-26
Real Madrid defeated Real Sociedad 4-1 at the Bernabéu on August 26 in Jose Mourinho's celebratory return to the club, with Kylian Mbappé scoring a hat-trick and Vinícius Júnior adding a fourth goal. The comprehensive victory confirmed what markets had priced at 76% the day before and delivered an emphatic statement in LaLiga's opening round.
Before Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad resolved, the final Kalshi odds were: Real Madrid: 99%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
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Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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