Updated 1 month ago
If Tie is the result of the Real Madrid vs Malaga professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Aug 30, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Winner: Real Madridon Aug 30, 2026
What happened
Resolved 2026-08-30
Real Madrid defeated Málaga 4-0 at home on August 30, 2026, in a dominant LaLiga performance that extended their perfect start under returning coach José Mourinho. Jude Bellingham opened the scoring with a solo goal, and Kylian Mbappé and substitute Arda Güler added to the tally, confirming what markets had priced at 88% the day before.
Before Real Madrid vs Malaga resolved, the final Kalshi odds were: Real Madrid: 99%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
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Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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