Updated 2 months ago
If PSG advance past Aston Villa in the PSG vs Aston Villa soccer tie in the Final of the UEFA Super Cup and lift the cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Winner: PSG advanceson Aug 12, 2026
What happened
Resolved 2026-08-12
PSG advanced past Aston Villa, winning the 2026 UEFA Super Cup 2-1 on August 12 with goals from Khvicha Kvaratskhelia and Désiré Doué offsetting Brian Madjo's response for Villa. Confirming what markets had priced at 72%, PSG claimed back-to-back Super Cup titles, the first team to do so since Real Madrid won consecutive crowns in 2016-17.
Before PSG vs Aston Villa resolved, the final Kalshi odds were: PSG advances: 99%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
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Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
