Updated 6 days ago
If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 4, 2026 is [outcome], then the market resolves to Yes.
Thresholds up through 60 resolved YES; 63 and above resolved NO — placing the final value in the 60–63 band
Before Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Oct 4, 2026 resolved, the final Kalshi odds were: Above 60%: 99%, Above 57%: 99%, Above 51%: 99%, Above 48%: 99%, Above 54%: 99%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
No — this market has resolved on Kalshi. PredictMarketCap tracks thousands of active markets across Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun if you're looking for what's live now.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
