Genta Koja
Mikio Shimoji
Denny Tamaki
Shun KaneshimaOkinawa Governor Election Winner
Updated 3 weeks ago
Every market on this event is off the board on Polymarket, with no outcome recorded yet. Prices below are the last traded values, not live odds.
In ReviewIn ReviewWhat happened
Resolved 2026-09-13
Genta Koja won the Okinawa gubernatorial election on September 13, taking over 50% of the vote and ousting incumbent Denny Tamaki, who sought a third term. The 42-year-old LDP-backed former Naha vice mayor's victory marked the party's return to the prefecture's top office for the first time in 12 years, confirming what markets had priced at 80% the day before.
Before Okinawa Governor Election Winner ended, the final Polymarket odds were: Genta Koja: 100%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
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Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
In ReviewIn Review
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