Updated 1m ago
If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of North Carolina for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Market analysis
Analysis generated Sep 3, 2026
Kalshi prices Roy Cooper at 91% to win North Carolina's open Senate seat, reflecting his consistent 5-11 point polling leads over Republican Michael Whatley. Cooper's strength stems from substantial independent support and Trump's underwater favorability in the state, though the 91% odds are more confident than recent tightening polling suggests—a High Point University poll showed just a 5-point gap compared to earlier 11-point leads. Both candidates are proven fundraisers, but Cooper's $35 million cash advantage and Democratic turnout enthusiasm give him meaningful structural advantages entering the final stretch.
As of October 14, 2026, the Kalshi odds for North Carolina Senate winner? are: Roy Cooper: 95%, Michael Whatley: 5%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
North Carolina Senate winner? is currently listed on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability — we surface the same event on Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun when it's listed on more than one platform.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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