Updated 1 week ago
If average regular gas prices for New York are strictly greater than $4.5150 on Oct 5, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
Thresholds up through 4.47 resolved YES; 4.475 and above resolved NO — placing the final value in the 4.47–4.475 bandon Oct 5, 2026
Before New York gas prices tomorrow resolved, the final Kalshi odds were: Above 4.4500: 99%, Above 4.4400: 99%, Above 4.4550: 99%, Above 4.4350: 99%, Above 4.4450: 99%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
No — this market has resolved on Kalshi. PredictMarketCap tracks thousands of active markets across Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun if you're looking for what's live now.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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