Updated 1 week ago
If average regular gas prices for Nevada are strictly greater than $5.5300 on Oct 5, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
Thresholds up through 5.48 resolved YES; 5.485 and above resolved NO — placing the final value in the 5.48–5.485 bandon Oct 5, 2026
Before Nevada gas prices tomorrow resolved, the final Kalshi odds were: Above 5.4550: 99%, Above 5.4600: 99%, Above 5.4500: 98%, Above 5.4750: 94%, Above 5.4900: 5%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
No — this market has resolved on Kalshi. PredictMarketCap tracks thousands of active markets across Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun if you're looking for what's live now.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
