Updated 6 days ago
If the Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 4, 2026 is [outcome], then the market resolves to Yes.
Thresholds up through 11.8 resolved YES; 14.9 and above resolved NO — placing the final value in the 11.8–14.9 bandon Oct 5, 2026
Before Moonshot AI share of spend on Oct 4, 2026 (Vercel) resolved, the final Kalshi odds were: Above 11.8%: 99%, Above 5.3%: 99%, Above 4.1%: 99%, Above 9.1%: 99%, Above 3.0%: 99%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
No — this market has resolved on Kalshi. PredictMarketCap tracks thousands of active markets across Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun if you're looking for what's live now.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
