Arizona Diamondbacks
Athletics
Seattle MarinersMarket analysis
Analysis generated Aug 31, 2026
The Cincinnati Reds dominate the market at 80% after maintaining the highest ABS Challenge success rate throughout the 2026 season, driven by elite catcher performance—particularly Tyler Stephenson's 72% win rate—and disciplined plate-challenging strategy by hitters like Sal Stewart. The gap widens to a two-tier race with Miami (8%), Detroit (7%), and Philadelphia (7%) as distant trailing contenders, reflecting the Reds' clear operational edge in zone judgment and challenge execution.
As of September 7, 2026, the Polymarket odds for MLB: Highest ABS Challenge Success Rate (Team) are: Cincinnati Reds: 32%, Detroit Tigers: 24%, Arizona Diamondbacks: 14%, Athletics: 4%, Seattle Mariners: 3%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
MLB: Highest ABS Challenge Success Rate (Team) is currently listed on Polymarket. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability — we surface the same event on Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun when it's listed on more than one platform.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
MLB: Highest ABS Challenge Success Rate (Team)
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