Updated 2 months ago
If Mexico wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Mexico vs Ecuador professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 30, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Winner: Goal Diff Reg Time: Mexico wins by more than 1.5 goalson Jul 1, 2026
What happened
Resolved 2026-06-30
Mexico defeated Ecuador 2-0 in the FIFA World Cup Round of 32 on June 30, 2026, advancing to the Round of 16 with a dominant performance at home in Mexico City. Julian Quiñones scored in the 22nd minute and Raúl Jiménez doubled the lead in the 31st minute, securing Mexico's first World Cup knockout stage victory in 40 years.
Before Mexico vs Ecuador: Regulation Time Spread resolved, the final Kalshi odds were: Goal Diff Reg Time: Mexico wins by more than 1.5 goals: 99%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
No — this market has resolved on Kalshi. PredictMarketCap tracks thousands of active markets across Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun if you're looking for what's live now.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
