Updated 2 months ago
If Mexico advance past England in the Mexico vs England soccer match in the Round Of 16 of the FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Winner: England advanceson Jul 6, 2026
WinnerWhat happened
Resolved 2026-07-05
England advanced to the World Cup quarterfinals with a 3-2 victory over co-hosts Mexico at the Azteca Stadium on July 5, 2026. Despite being reduced to ten men in the 54th minute following Jarell Quansah's red card, England held on as Jude Bellingham scored twice and Harry Kane added a penalty. The Three Lions will face Norway in the quarterfinals on July 11.
Before Mexico vs England resolved, the final Kalshi odds were: England advances: 99%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
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Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
