Updated 2 months ago
If Tie is the result of the Mexico vs Ecuador professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 30, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Winner: Reg Time: Mexicoon Jul 1, 2026
What happened
Resolved 2026-07-01
Mexico defeated Ecuador 2-0 in the 2026 FIFA World Cup round of 32 on July 1 at Estadio Azteca in Mexico City, with goals from Julian Quiñones and Raul Jimenez. The victory marked Mexico's first World Cup knockout win in 40 years and sent the co-hosts into the round of 16.
Before Mexico vs Ecuador: Regulation Time Moneyline resolved, the final Kalshi odds were: Reg Time: Mexico: 99%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
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Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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