Metamask FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Updated 15d ago
Market analysis
Analysis generated Aug 30, 2026
Polymarket shows historically low conviction on MetaMask's FDV at every threshold, with all major outcomes ($300M–$3B) trading below 12%, signaling deep doubt the token launches before year-end. The $300M outcome leads at 11%, but the flat probability curve across a 10-fold range reflects sustained delays—ConsenSys promised Q3-Q4 2026 timing, yet August 30 has passed with no launch, leaving only four months to close the gap. Market pricing implies either token launch doesn't occur by December 31, or if it does, valuations will be modest and highly uncertain.
As of September 7, 2026, the Polymarket odds for Metamask FDV above ___ one day after launch? are: $500M: 32%, $100M: 13%, $300M: 9%, $1B: 9%, $4B: 8%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Metamask FDV above ___ one day after launch? is currently listed on Polymarket. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability — we surface the same event on Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun when it's listed on more than one platform.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
