
Updated 3 weeks ago
What happened
Resolved 2026-09-16
Club Atlético de Madrid defeated CA Osasuna 4-0 on September 16, 2026, at Riyadh Air Metropolitano in a dominant LaLiga performance. Goals from Jonathan David, Lee Kang-In, Robin Le Normand, and Álex Baena secured the win, moving Atlético into third place. The victory confirmed markets' expectation of an Atlético win at roughly 68% implied probability day-before, with the emphatic margin reflecting Osasuna's defensive fragility after conceding seven goals in their previous two matches.
Before Club Atlético de Madrid vs. CA Osasuna - More Markets ended, the final Polymarket odds were: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5): 100%, 1st Half O/U 0.5: 100%, O/U 3.5: 100%, Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5): 100%, O/U 0.5: 100%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
No — this market has ended on Polymarket. PredictMarketCap tracks thousands of active markets across Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun if you're looking for what's live now.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.