Updated 3h ago
If the headline PMI value in the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business for Oct 2026, as published by ISM (one decimal place), is [outcome], then the market resolves to Yes.
As of October 12, 2026, the Kalshi odds for ISM Manufacturing PMI in October are: At least 51: 97%, At least 52: 94%, At least 53: 83%, At least 54: 29%, At least 56: 26%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
ISM Manufacturing PMI in October is currently listed on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability — we surface the same event on Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun when it's listed on more than one platform.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
