Updated 1 week ago
If Israel records above 2.5 goals in the Ireland vs Israel professional UEFA Nations League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Winners: Israel over 0.5 goals, Ireland over 0.5 goalson Oct 4, 2026
Before Ireland vs Israel: Team Total resolved, the final Kalshi odds were: Israel over 0.5 goals: 99%, Ireland over 0.5 goals: 99%, Israel over 1.5 goals: 9%, Israel over 2.5 goals: 7%, Ireland over 1.5 goals: 2%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
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Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.