Updated 2 months ago
If Tie wins the Iraq vs Norway professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 16, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Winner: Norwayon Jun 17, 2026
What happened
Resolved 2026-06-16
Norway defeated Iraq 4-1 in their FIFA World Cup 2026 Group I opener on June 16 at Boston Stadium. Erling Haaland scored twice and Leo Ostigard added a third goal in a dominant second-half display, with Iraq's Aymen Hussein scoring their sole goal. The victory marked a historic World Cup return for Iraq after 40 years and a strong start for Norway, who controlled possession with 62 percent and out-shot Iraq 12-11 total attempts.
Before Iraq vs Norway resolved, the final Kalshi odds were: Norway: 99%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
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Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.