Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?
Updated 25m ago
Market analysis
Analysis generated Aug 27, 2026
The market prices a September 30 deal at 40% versus just 9% by August 31, reflecting news that Iran and Oman agreed August 26 on temporary navigational corridors and mine-clearing, but flagged permanent management arrangements as still requiring technical talks. The IRGC claimed agreement on revenue-sharing, though Oman's foreign ministry and Iranian diplomats have not confirmed final terms; officials said permanent solutions remain under discussion with extended timeframes.
As of September 7, 2026, the Polymarket odds for Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...? are: October 31: 47%, September 30: 28%, September 21: 22%, September 14: 17%, September 7: 3%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...? is currently listed on Polymarket. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability — we surface the same event on Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun when it's listed on more than one platform.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
