Updated 1h ago
If the first price announced for Tesla Roadster (second generation) by Tesla, Inc. is at least $300000, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of October 12, 2026, the Kalshi odds for How much will the Tesla Roadster cost? are: At least $225,000: 99%, At least $150,000: 89%, At least $175,000: 82%, At least $250,000: 50%, At least $275,000: 29%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
How much will the Tesla Roadster cost? is currently listed on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability — we surface the same event on Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun when it's listed on more than one platform.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
